Manchester City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1911 |
LIV
2 - 2
MAC
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1911 |
MAC
0 - 0
MUD
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1911 |
NEW
3 - 3
MAC
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1911 |
MAC
1 - 2
BRI
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
SHW
4 - 1
MAC
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1911 |
ASV
4 - 1
ARS
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1911 |
ASV
0 - 3
WBA
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1911 |
BRA
2 - 1
ASV
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1911 |
LIV
3 - 1
ASV
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1911 |
BBU
0 - 0
ASV
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |