Manchester City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1959 |
EVE
3 - 1
MAC
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1959 |
PNE
2 - 0
MAC
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1958 |
MAC
4 - 1
BIR
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1958 |
BIR
6 - 1
MAC
52%
20%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1958 |
MAC
1 - 4
BUR
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1959 |
TOT
1 - 4
ARS
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1959 |
ARS
3 - 1
EVE
67%
17%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1959 |
LEI
2 - 3
ARS
53%
20%
27%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1958 |
ARS
1 - 0
LUT
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1958 |
LUT
6 - 3
ARS
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |