Manchester City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
17.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1958 |
LUT
1 - 2
MAC
48%
21%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1958 |
MAC
1 - 1
BIR
69%
16%
14%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1958 |
MAC
4 - 3
BPO
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1958 |
LEI
8 - 4
MAC
50%
20%
30%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1958 |
TOT
5 - 1
MAC
62%
18%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1958 |
ARS
5 - 4
CHL
60%
20%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1958 |
BIR
4 - 1
ARS
55%
21%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1958 |
ARS
4 - 4
TOT
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1958 |
ARS
1 - 2
BOL
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1958 |
ARS
4 - 5
MUD
35%
23%
43%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |