Manchester City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1949 |
LIV
4 - 0
MAC
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1949 |
MAC
2 - 1
SUN
44%
24%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1949 |
BUR
0 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1949 |
MAC
1 - 1
STO
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1949 |
CHL
3 - 0
MAC
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1949 |
ARS
2 - 1
FUL
78%
13%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1949 |
NEW
0 - 3
ARS
50%
23%
27%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1949 |
ARS
1 - 0
BPO
71%
16%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1949 |
MID
1 - 1
ARS
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1949 |
ARS
5 - 2
EVE
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |