Manchester City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1932 |
BIR
3 - 0
MAC
46%
23%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1932 |
MAC
2 - 3
MID
63%
18%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1932 |
MAC
1 - 0
BIR
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1932 |
SUN
3 - 2
MAC
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1932 |
MAC
1 - 2
SHW
54%
20%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1932 |
ARS
6 - 1
SUN
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1932 |
ARS
1 - 2
WBA
70%
17%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1932 |
BIR
0 - 1
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1932 |
ARS
4 - 0
BBU
66%
18%
16%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1932 |
ARS
5 - 0
MID
67%
17%
16%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |