Manchester City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1921 |
MAC
1 - 1
LIV
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
ASV
4 - 0
MAC
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1921 |
LIV
3 - 2
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
MAC
2 - 1
ASV
60%
20%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 1
MAC
50%
26%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 0
PNE
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
SHE
4 - 1
ARS
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1921 |
PNE
3 - 2
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 2
SHE
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
LIV
3 - 0
ARS
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |