Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
LEI
1 - 1
MAC
31%
24%
45%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
MAC
4 - 1
TOT
65%
19%
15%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
SWA
0 - 4
MAC
12%
18%
70%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
MUD
1 - 2
MAC
34%
25%
40%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
SHA
2 - 1
MAC
22%
21%
57%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
CHL
2 - 1
BOU
83%
12%
5%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 4
LIV
20%
21%
59%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
MUD
1 - 0
BOU
70%
20%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
CRY
2 - 2
BOU
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BOU
1 - 1
SOU
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |