Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Manchester City vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1970 |
MAC
0 - 1
CRY
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1970 |
MAC
2 - 1
WBA
69%
17%
14%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1970 |
ACA
0 - 0
MAC
46%
24%
31%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
MAC
1 - 0
IPS
70%
19%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
WOL
1 - 3
MAC
46%
26%
29%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1970 |
ACA
4 - 1
BOA
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
FAB
1 - 1
ACA
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1970 |
ACA
0 - 0
MAC
46%
24%
31%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
ACA
5 - 1
LEX
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
ACA
3 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |