Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-4
CD Manchego vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
DAI
2 - 1
MAN
40%
31%
29%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
MAN
2 - 2
LEG
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1982 |
REC
2 - 2
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
CAR
1 - 1
MAN
38%
31%
31%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
MAN
4 - 0
UBC
81%
14%
6%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
REC
0 - 2
ATB
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
MUR
7 - 0
REC
69%
19%
11%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1982 |
REC
2 - 2
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
REC
0 - 0
ELC
44%
29%
28%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
MLL
2 - 2
REC
58%
25%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |