Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
CD Manchego vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
MAN
2 - 0
MEX
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
CDB
2 - 0
MAN
56%
25%
19%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
ARA
1 - 1
MAN
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
MAN
0 - 0
LEG
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
GUA
0 - 2
MAN
48%
28%
24%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
ARA
1 - 3
ADP
66%
21%
13%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
MEX
1 - 1
ARA
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
ARA
1 - 1
MAN
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
SFN
2 - 3
ARA
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
ARA
5 - 1
CDT
84%
12%
4%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |