Manawatu vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TEA
2 - 0
MAN
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 3
WAI
60%
21%
20%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
AUC
5 - 0
MAN
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 3
OTA
61%
20%
18%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
HAW
2 - 2
MAN
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 1
WAI
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TEA
1 - 2
WAI
33%
25%
43%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AMD
0 - 1
WAI
7%
13%
80%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
WAI
1 - 4
WAI
21%
24%
56%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
WAI
4 - 0
BAF
88%
9%
3%
|
68 | 31 | 37 | +1 |