Manawatu vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 0
AUC
43%
24%
33%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
WAI
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
AUC
3 - 0
MAN
60%
20%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 3
MAN
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 0
OTA
75%
15%
10%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
2 - 3
WAI
16%
24%
60%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
HAW
0 - 1
WAI
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 1
WAI
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
WAI
3 - 0
OTA
81%
14%
6%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 2
WAI
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |