Manawatu vs Waikato FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
AUC
3 - 0
MAN
60%
20%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 3
MAN
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 0
OTA
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
TEA
3 - 2
MAN
54%
23%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
4 - 0
CAN
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 1
WAI
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
3 - 3
WAI
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 0
WAI
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
3 - 1
CAN
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
AUC
3 - 0
WAI
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |