Manawatu vs Otago United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
HAW
2 - 2
MAN
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 4
CAN
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
TEA
2 - 2
MAN
70%
18%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 2
AUC
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
OTA
4 - 3
MAN
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
OTA
0 - 6
WAI
21%
24%
54%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TEA
2 - 2
OTA
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
OTA
1 - 2
WAI
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CAN
3 - 1
OTA
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
OTA
4 - 3
MAN
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |