Manawatu vs Otago United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
WAI
3 - 0
MAN
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 4
WAI
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 0
MAN
37%
24%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 1
HAW
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
AUC
1 - 4
MAN
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
OTA
0 - 3
TEA
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
AUC
0 - 0
OTA
78%
15%
8%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
HAW
3 - 2
OTA
61%
23%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
OTA
0 - 1
WAI
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
OTA
1 - 1
MAN
32%
24%
45%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |