Manawatu vs Otago United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
HAW
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAN
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 2
MAN
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 1
WAI
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 4
MAN
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
OTA
1 - 3
CAN
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
WAI
0 - 1
OTA
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
OTA
1 - 2
WAI
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 2
OTA
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 1
OTA
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |