Manawatu vs Otago United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
TEA
3 - 2
MAN
54%
23%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
4 - 0
CAN
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
3 - 0
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
2 - 0
MAN
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 2
HAW
72%
17%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 2
OTA
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
OTA
0 - 1
AUC
18%
24%
58%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
OTA
1 - 3
HAW
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TEA
1 - 1
OTA
80%
14%
7%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
WAI
3 - 1
OTA
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |