Manawatu vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
51.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 4
OTA
52%
22%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AUC
4 - 0
MAN
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 2
CAN
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 3
WAI
54%
22%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TEA
3 - 1
MAN
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
HAW
4 - 0
WAI
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
HAW
3 - 0
TEA
41%
24%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
WAI
3 - 1
HAW
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAN
4 - 0
HAW
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
HAW
2 - 0
OTA
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |