Manawatu vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
9 - 1
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 7
WAI
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TEA
2 - 0
MAN
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 3
WAI
60%
21%
20%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
AUC
5 - 0
MAN
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
HAW
1 - 0
WAI
26%
24%
50%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
HAW
2 - 6
TEA
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
OTA
2 - 0
HAW
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
HAW
3 - 0
CAN
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
HAW
2 - 2
MAN
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |