Manawatu vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAN
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 2
MAN
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 1
WAI
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 4
MAN
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
AUC
3 - 0
MAN
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
HAW
0 - 2
TEA
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 1
HAW
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 1
OTA
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
4 - 2
HAW
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 0
OTA
63%
21%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +2 |