Manawatu vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
OTA
2 - 3
MAN
22%
24%
55%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 0
TEA
46%
23%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CAN
0 - 1
MAN
36%
24%
40%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 5
CAN
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
WAI
4 - 5
MAN
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
HAW
1 - 2
TEA
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
HAW
2 - 1
WAI
50%
25%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 1
HAW
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
HAW
2 - 2
WAI
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
WAI
2 - 0
HAW
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |