Manawatu vs Canterbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 3
WAI
54%
22%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TEA
3 - 1
MAN
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 5
WAI
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HAW
4 - 2
MAN
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
OTA
0 - 3
MAN
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAN
4 - 0
HAW
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
WAI
0 - 5
CAN
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 1
OTA
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
TEA
0 - 1
CAN
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AUC
5 - 2
CAN
64%
20%
17%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |