Manawatu vs Canterbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
3 - 0
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
2 - 0
MAN
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 2
HAW
72%
17%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
OTA
2 - 3
MAN
22%
24%
55%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 0
TEA
46%
23%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 1
AUC
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
HAW
1 - 2
CAN
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 2
TEA
28%
25%
48%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
WAI
1 - 1
CAN
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CAN
0 - 1
WAI
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |