Manawatu vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
66.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CAN
4 - 1
MAN
82%
13%
6%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
WAI
2 - 3
MAN
66%
18%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 6
TEA
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
WAI
4 - 0
MAN
87%
10%
4%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 5
HAW
26%
23%
52%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AUC
7 - 1
WAI
87%
10%
4%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TEA
2 - 3
AUC
37%
26%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
AUC
3 - 2
TEA
63%
19%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AUC
2 - 3
WAI
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
HAW
1 - 1
AUC
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |