Manawatu vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
62.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OTA
2 - 2
MAN
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 5
HAW
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
9 - 1
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 7
WAI
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TEA
2 - 0
MAN
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
HAW
1 - 3
AUC
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AUC
3 - 1
WAI
52%
23%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TEA
1 - 1
AUC
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AUC
0 - 0
WAI
78%
15%
8%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
AUC
3 - 2
AMI
89%
8%
3%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |