Manawatu vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
50.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
OTA
4 - 3
MAN
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
WAI
6 - 1
MAN
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 3
CAN
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
HAW
2 - 1
MAN
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 3
TEA
34%
24%
42%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
AUC
1 - 0
WAI
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
MAG
0 - 1
AUC
10%
16%
74%
|
69 | 29 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
AUC
2 - 0
TEA
61%
20%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
OTA
0 - 3
AUC
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
AUC
5 - 1
WAI
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |