Manaus vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
GAL
2 - 2
MAN
34%
26%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
RDA
1 - 1
MAN
30%
26%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 1
RDA
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
MAN
5 - 2
GAL
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAN
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
RDA
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
GAL
1 - 1
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 2
GAL
35%
23%
43%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
RDA
2 - 1
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAN
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -2 |