Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 2-1
Manaus vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAN
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 0
BAR
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2018 |
ECM
2 - 1
MAN
10%
16%
73%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 1
RIO
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
RIO
3 - 4
MAN
40%
26%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
YAP
0 - 0
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAN
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
ECM
71%
16%
13%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
SAN
8 - 1
PLA
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
BRO
2 - 1
SAN
31%
23%
46%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |