Manaus vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
RIO
3 - 4
MAN
40%
26%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
5 - 2
ECM
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
MAN
12%
18%
70%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 2
PAY
16%
20%
64%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
4 - 0
FAS
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
RIO
3 - 4
MAN
40%
26%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 1
BAR
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
ECM
0 - 3
RIO
20%
20%
60%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
RIO
3 - 0
GAL
42%
23%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
GAL
2 - 2
RIO
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |