Copa Verde Eliminatorias Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Manaus vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
50.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
MAN
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 1
AFC
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 2
TOC
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
UDA
0 - 2
MAN
13%
19%
68%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 1
PFC
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PAY
3 - 1
BPA
80%
14%
5%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 1
PAY
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BPA
0 - 3
PAY
8%
18%
75%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
PAY
3 - 0
RIO
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PAY
3 - 0
CAS
82%
13%
4%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |