Manaus vs Macapá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
MAN
12%
18%
70%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 2
PAY
16%
20%
64%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
4 - 0
FAS
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 1
PRI
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 0
PEN
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
ECM
0 - 3
RIO
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
TDC
1 - 0
ECM
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
SPM
0 - 0
ECM
29%
21%
50%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ECM
2 - 2
YAP
40%
23%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
7 - 2
ECM
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |