Série D Brazil Final
Global 4-4
Manaus vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
BRU
2 - 2
MAN
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 0
JAC
45%
26%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 1
SOB
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
JAC
1 - 1
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
SOB
4 - 1
MAN
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
BRU
2 - 2
MAN
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
BRU
2 - 0
ITU
32%
28%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ITU
2 - 0
BRU
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
BRU
4 - 0
SDJ
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
SDJ
1 - 0
BRU
33%
28%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |