Managua vs Sport Sébaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
3º
1º
10
4º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 13 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 13 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 11 |
4º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 7 |
5º
|
86% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 5 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 4 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 3 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 7% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 93% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 1
DEP
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 1
MAN
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 0
DEP
69%
17%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 1
JUV
83%
11%
6%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 3
JAP
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 0
WAL
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 2
EST
25%
23%
52%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
CDS
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 1
RSA
87%
9%
4%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
UNA
6 - 3
CDS
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |