Managua vs Real Madriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 2
MAN
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
JAP
0 - 3
MAN
22%
27%
51%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 1
EST
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 0
WAL
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
UNA
2 - 3
MAN
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
REA
2 - 1
DIR
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
JAP
1 - 1
REA
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
REA
0 - 2
EST
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 1
REA
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
REA
2 - 1
UNA
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |