Managua vs Real Madriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 0
DEP
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CFC
1 - 3
MAN
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 1
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
WAL
4 - 1
MAN
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 0
DIR
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
REA
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
DIR
3 - 0
REA
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
REA
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
REA
5 - 0
CFC
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
REA
0 - 1
DEP
37%
26%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |