Copa Nicaragua Quarter-finals
Global 4-7
Managua vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 1
MAN
8%
15%
78%
|
59 | 13 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
ORM
89%
8%
3%
|
59 | 12 | 47 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
EST
2 - 3
MAN
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
EST
35%
26%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
DEP
70%
17%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
EST
4 - 2
JUV
86%
11%
4%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 2
EST
16%
20%
64%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
EST
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
DIR
0 - 3
EST
50%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
EST
0 - 0
DIR
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |