Managua vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 1
MAN
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 0
JAP
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
REA
1 - 2
MAN
37%
26%
36%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
WAL
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 2
UNA
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
EST
3 - 1
JUV
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
DIR
3 - 2
EST
36%
29%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
CFC
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
EST
2 - 0
UNA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 5
EST
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |