Managua vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
MAN
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
JAP
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
REA
1 - 0
MAN
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 3
UNA
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
EST
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
JUV
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DIR
2 - 1
EST
45%
29%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
UNA
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 3
EST
33%
28%
38%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
DIR
0 - 0
EST
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |