Managua vs Rancho Santana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+569%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
3º
1º
7
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
12 | 16 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 9 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 8 |
4º
|
6% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 7 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 7 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 7 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
99% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
1% | 96.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
CDS
0 - 2
MAN
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
DIR
1 - 1
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
DIR
50%
23%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 5
MAN
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 1
WAL
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rancho Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
RSA
4 - 0
JAP
17%
21%
62%
|
15 | 56 | 41 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RSA
3 - 2
EST
19%
23%
58%
|
13 | 69 | 56 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CDS
3 - 0
RSA
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 58 | 45 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 6
DIR
18%
22%
60%
|
14 | 69 | 55 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 1
RSA
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 62 | 48 | 0 |