Managua vs Orgánica Masachapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
9º
3º
5
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 2
MAN
33%
29%
39%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
MAN
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 3
UNA
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 2
MAN
25%
29%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 1
DIR
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Orgánica Masachapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
ORM
1 - 5
EST
18%
26%
56%
|
31 | 68 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ORM
0 - 5
WAL
23%
26%
52%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
ORM
2 - 3
JAP
18%
23%
59%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
ORM
1 - 2
MFC
18%
22%
61%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 2
ORM
70%
18%
11%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |