Managua vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2020 |
MAN
6 - 1
JAP
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2020 |
SAB
0 - 1
MAN
13%
25%
62%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 1
DEP
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2020 |
REA
0 - 0
MAN
22%
25%
52%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
EST
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2020 |
WAL
2 - 0
SAB
74%
18%
9%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2020 |
DEP
0 - 1
WAL
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2020 |
WAL
4 - 0
REA
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2020 |
WAL
1 - 0
EST
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2020 |
DIR
2 - 1
WAL
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |