Managua vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 3
MAN
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 1
MAN
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
REA
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 0
DEP
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CFC
1 - 3
MAN
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 0
FCS
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
REA
2 - 3
WAL
21%
26%
53%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 2
JAP
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
WAL
0 - 0
CFC
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
WAL
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |