Managua vs CD Ocotal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
5º
4º
15
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
EST
3 - 3
MAN
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 4
EST
35%
23%
42%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 1
MAN
8%
15%
78%
|
60 | 14 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
ORM
89%
8%
3%
|
60 | 13 | 47 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
EST
2 - 3
MAN
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
DEP
2 - 2
CDS
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 2
DEP
60%
20%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
SMT
1 - 2
DEP
10%
15%
75%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
SMT
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
DEP
70%
17%
13%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |