Managua vs CD Ocotal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
5º
4º
15
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
EST
3 - 3
MAN
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 4
EST
35%
23%
42%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 1
MAN
8%
15%
78%
|
59 | 13 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
ORM
89%
8%
3%
|
59 | 12 | 47 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
EST
2 - 3
MAN
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
DEP
2 - 2
CDS
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 2
DEP
60%
20%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
SMT
1 - 2
DEP
10%
15%
75%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
SMT
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
DEP
70%
17%
13%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |