Managua vs CD Ocotal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
4º
3º
24
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UNA
0 - 2
MAN
33%
26%
42%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
XIL
2 - 0
MAN
44%
23%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 0
MFC
58%
22%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 2
CDS
68%
19%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
MAN
61%
22%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
JUV
2 - 1
DEP
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 0
DEP
40%
23%
37%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DEP
3 - 0
WAL
13%
25%
63%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 1
JAP
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 4
DEP
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |