Managua vs CD Ocotal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
JAP
2 - 0
MAN
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 1
REA
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
WAL
2 - 0
MAN
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
UNA
2 - 1
MAN
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 1
MAN
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
4 - 0
JUV
38%
25%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
DIR
2 - 0
DEP
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
4 - 2
CFC
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
EST
4 - 0
DEP
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 3
REA
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |