Managua vs Chinandega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 0
MAN
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
6 - 1
MEL
93%
5%
2%
|
63 | 8 | 55 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 1
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 4
MAN
3%
9%
88%
|
62 | 9 | 53 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
MAN
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chinandega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
EST
4 - 1
CFC
71%
20%
10%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CFC
3 - 1
FSR
85%
10%
5%
|
50 | 7 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
DIR
3 - 0
CFC
70%
20%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FSR
0 - 4
CFC
8%
14%
77%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
WAL
5 - 1
CFC
62%
23%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |