Managua vs Chinandega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 0
MAN
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 1
EST
47%
28%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
DIR
0 - 0
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 3
WAL
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 2
MAN
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chinandega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CFC
2 - 2
FCS
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
REA
1 - 1
CFC
39%
25%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CFC
1 - 0
JAP
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CFC
1 - 1
DEP
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 1
CFC
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |