Managua vs Chinandega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
MAN
37%
29%
35%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
DIR
0 - 0
MAN
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 2
WAL
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 3
MAN
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chinandega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
CFC
1 - 2
FCS
35%
26%
40%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
REA
3 - 1
CFC
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CFC
4 - 5
JAP
32%
26%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CFC
1 - 2
DEP
30%
26%
45%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 2
CFC
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |