UEFA Youth League Ruta Doméstica Semi-finals
Global 11-2
Man Utd U19 vs Žalgiris Vilnius U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Man Utd U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 5
MUD
16%
18%
66%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
MUD
0 - 2
BYM
35%
21%
44%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 0
MUD
62%
18%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
KOB
2 - 2
MUD
64%
19%
18%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
MUD
0 - 1
KOB
18%
18%
65%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Žalgiris Vilnius U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 5
MUD
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
TNS
0 - 4
ZAL
18%
18%
64%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ZAL
3 - 2
TNS
64%
18%
17%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
TRE
4 - 0
ZAL
82%
12%
7%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 1
TRE
7%
12%
81%
|
6 | 43 | 37 | +8 |