Cup Last 16
Global 0-3
Mamurrasi vs KF Iliria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamurrasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MAM
0 - 1
ERZ
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
KRU
2 - 2
MAM
38%
26%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ILI
1 - 0
MAM
29%
26%
46%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MAM
0 - 1
BES
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ADA
4 - 6
MAM
24%
27%
49%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
KF Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ILI
0 - 1
KOR
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ERZ
3 - 0
ILI
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ILI
1 - 0
MAM
29%
26%
46%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ADA
2 - 2
ILI
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BES
0 - 4
ILI
50%
26%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |